Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
