Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Sint-Truiden	Draw	Union SG
31.17% ( -0.22)	25.35% ( -0.05)	43.48% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 55.09% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.51% (

0.11)

48.49% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.38% (

0.1)

70.62% (

-0.1)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

-0.09)

29.14% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93% (

-0.11)

65.07% (

0.11)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

0.17)

22.25% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

0.26)

55.69% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Sint-Truiden 31.17%

Union SG 43.48%

Draw 25.35%

Sint-Truiden	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 8% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.17%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.48%