SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Westerlo win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Westerlo |
59.62% ( -0.12) | 22.27% ( 0.06) | 18.11% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( -0.13) | 47.32% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.12) | 69.55% ( 0.12) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.09) | 15.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.64% ( -0.16) | 44.36% ( 0.16) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.1% ( -0) | 39.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.44% ( -0) | 76.56% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Westerlo |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.61% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 18.11% |
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