Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.