Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.59) 
