Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Standard Liege in this match.
