Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
