Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Standard Liege
65.78% ( -0.04)	19.4% ( -0.02)	14.82% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.34% (

0.23)

40.66% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.96% (

0.24)

63.04% (

-0.24)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45% (

0.06)

11.55% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.52% (

0.12)

36.48% (

-0.12)

Standard Liege Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.01% (

0.23)

39.99% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36% (

0.21)

76.64% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Genk 65.78%

Standard Liege 14.82%

Draw 19.4%

Genk	Draw	Standard Liege
2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.88% Total : 65.78%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.4%	0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 14.82%