SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
59.08% ( 0.04) | 20.5% ( -0.02) | 20.42% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.01% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.21% ( 0.04) | 35.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.14% ( 0.04) | 57.86% ( -0.05) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( 0.02) | 11.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.76% ( 0.05) | 37.24% ( -0.05) |
| Beerschot Wilrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( -0) | 30.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.99% ( -0) | 67.01% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 20.42% |
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