SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
52.07% ( 0.08) | 23.12% ( 0.04) | 24.81% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% ( -0.3) | 42.78% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% ( -0.3) | 65.18% ( 0.3) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -0.08) | 16.47% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.82% ( -0.15) | 46.18% ( 0.15) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.26) | 30.85% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -0.3) | 67.13% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.07% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 24.81% |
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