Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Union SG win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.