SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Genk had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
43.52% ( -0.14) | 24.14% ( 0.04) | 32.33% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% ( -0.13) | 42.57% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( -0.13) | 64.98% ( 0.13) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( -0.11) | 19.76% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% ( -0.18) | 51.79% ( 0.18) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0) | 25.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( 0) | 60.32% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.33% |
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