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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))

Union SG
1 - 3
Cercle Brugge

Fuseini (8')
Akinpelu (88'), Sykes (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Augusto (52'), Kakou (55'), Denkey (90+8')
Nazinho (64'), Somers (73'), Denkey (90+9')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Cercle Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 1-0 Union SG
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Vikingur 3-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Union SGDrawCercle Brugge
66.36% (0.33500000000001 0.34) 19.88% (0.315 0.32) 13.76% (-0.649 -0.65)
Both teams to score 48.6% (-2.792 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-2.819 -2.82)45.15% (2.819 2.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-2.759 -2.76)67.5% (2.759 2.76)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.28% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)12.72% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.06% (-1.556 -1.56)38.94% (1.556 1.56)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.68% (-2.704 -2.7)44.32% (2.703 2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.61% (-2.286 -2.29)80.38% (2.286 2.29)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 66.35%
    Cercle Brugge 13.76%
    Draw 19.89%
Union SGDrawCercle Brugge
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.76 0.76)
1-0 @ 11.62% (1.05 1.05)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.24% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.258 -0.26)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.324 -0.32)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 66.35%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.187 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.654 0.65)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.345 -0.35)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 3.85% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 13.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-0 Union SG
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union SG 0-0 Gent
Saturday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Union SG
Sunday, October 6 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 0-0 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union SG 3-0 Kortrijk
Sunday, September 29 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Union SG
Thursday, September 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Vikingur 3-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-0 Dender
Saturday, October 19 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, October 6 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 6-2 St Gallen
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-1 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, September 29 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 2-1 Gent
Thursday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League


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