SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Union SG |
33.99% ( 0.27) | 23.63% ( 0.36) | 42.38% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 62.26% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( -1.66) | 39.59% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( -1.75) | 61.93% ( 1.75) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( -0.63) | 23.1% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% ( -0.93) | 56.96% ( 0.93) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% ( -0.94) | 19.02% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.4% ( -1.59) | 50.59% ( 1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.4% Total : 42.38% |
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