SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gent had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Gent win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Gent |
59.12% ( 0.93) | 21.66% ( -0.28) | 19.22% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( 0.3) | 43.02% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( 0.29) | 65.42% ( -0.28) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( 0.4) | 14.2% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.08% ( 0.76) | 41.93% ( -0.75) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.51) | 36.16% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( -0.52) | 72.94% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.22% |
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