SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Gent |
28.17% ( -0.23) | 22.96% ( -0.09) | 48.88% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.5% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.76% ( 0.27) | 39.24% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.43% ( 0.28) | 61.57% ( -0.28) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( -0.02) | 26.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( -0.03) | 61.7% ( 0.02) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( 0.22) | 16.32% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( 0.39) | 45.9% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.17% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.7% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.88% |
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