SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Standard Liege |
70.74% ( 0.03) | 16.97% ( -0.01) | 12.29% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.93% ( 0.01) | 35.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.93% ( 0.01) | 57.06% ( -0.01) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.19% ( 0.01) | 8.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.79% ( 0.02) | 30.21% ( -0.02) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.93% ( -0.02) | 40.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% ( -0.01) | 76.71% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.58% 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.49% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.04% 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 70.73% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.97% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.29% |
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