SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Kortrijk |
44.39% ( -0.04) | 23.88% ( -0) | 31.73% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( 0.03) | 41.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( 0.03) | 64% ( -0.03) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0) | 18.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( -0.01) | 50.54% ( 0.01) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.05) | 25.38% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( 0.06) | 60.19% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.73% |
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