Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
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