SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Mechelen |
32.76% ( 0) | 24.5% ( -0) | 42.74% |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% ( 0.01) | 44.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0.02) | 66.48% ( -0.02) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( 0.01) | 25.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( 0.01) | 60.98% ( -0.01) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( 0.01) | 20.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( 0.01) | 53.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.76% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.74% |
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