SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Kortrijk |
52.01% ( 0.38) | 23.16% ( -0.23) | 24.83% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( 0.91) | 42.94% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( 0.89) | 65.34% ( -0.9) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% ( 0.47) | 16.55% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.67% ( 0.84) | 46.33% ( -0.84) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( 0.37) | 30.92% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( 0.43) | 67.21% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 24.83% |
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