SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Standard Liege |
71.44% ( 0.16) | 17.99% ( -0.09) | 10.57% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.2) | 44.74% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0.2) | 67.1% ( -0.2) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.8% ( 0.1) | 11.2% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.28% ( 0.22) | 35.72% ( -0.22) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.55% | 49.45% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.73% ( -0) | 84.27% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 71.44% | 1-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 17.99% | 0-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 10.57% |
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