SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Union SG |
25.38% ( 0.5) | 23.04% ( 0.25) | 51.58% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% ( -0.69) | 41.88% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( -0.7) | 64.28% ( 0.7) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( 0.02) | 29.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.98% ( 0.03) | 66.02% ( -0.02) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -0.51) | 16.32% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( -0.94) | 45.9% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.59% |
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