Flamengo have little to play for heading into this one and can afford to take their foot off the gas. The hosts, on the other hand, are in pursuit of continental qualification, and we are backing them to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
