Under most circumstances, Flamengo could be ripe for the picking, coming off an emotional defeat in the cup final and with just a few days to rest, however because their reign as Serie A champions is in jeopardy, they should be motivated enough to fight hard and put some pressure on Atletico Mineiro to have to pick up some more points to claim the title.
Fatigue may play a factor in this one, but Gaucho has a variety of talented players at every position who can step up when called upon, which is something Ceara will have difficulties matching, given their resources.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 76.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 7.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
