As well as Santos have performed away from home in recent fixtures, the Maracana is a whole other kind of environment to have to contend with, and one in which Peixe have struggled in, winning only once in their previous six visits there, with Flamengo outscoring them 6-1 in the past three matches played in Rio between these sides.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 8.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
