We say: Palmeiras 1-1 Flamengo (Flamengo wins on penalties)
The previous two tournament winners face off in this game with plenty at stake between these two sides who have contrasting styles of play, but both are highly effective at their own system.
Give a slight edge to Flamengo, who have the confidence of understanding what it takes to win a nerve-wracking penalty shootout this year, as well as the psychological advantage of knowing that they have not lost to Palestra since 2017 and also have never lost in the final of the Copa Libertadores.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%).
