Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.