Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.