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Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
3 - 0
Atletico GO

Brenner (45+2', 71'), Sara (65')
Reinaldo (21'), Alves (43'), Sara (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gilvan (41'), Hyuri (90')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Atletico Goianiense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAtletico Goianiense
43.29%28.01%28.7%
Both teams to score 45.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.25%59.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.95%80.05%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62%27.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15%62.85%
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18%36.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39%73.61%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 43.29%
    Atletico Goianiense 28.7%
    Draw 28%
Sao PauloDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 8.46%
2-1 @ 8.45%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.7%


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