Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
