Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Botafogo win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.