Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Goias had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.