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Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Dec 17, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
AM

Sao Paulo
3 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Gomes (25'), Sara (84'), Toro (90+1')
Tche (68'), Alves (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rabello (42'), Alonso (68'), Rodrigues de Souza (68')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Atletico Mineiro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAtletico Mineiro
46.48%26.01%27.52%
Both teams to score 50.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04%52.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44%74.56%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55%56.45%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89%34.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2%70.8%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 46.48%
    Atletico Mineiro 27.52%
    Draw 26.01%
Sao PauloDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.48%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.35%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.52%

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