SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Santos |
| 36.68% | 30.41% | 32.9% |
| Both teams to score 40.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.55% | 66.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.1% | 84.89% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% | 34.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.59% | 71.41% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% | 37.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.91% | 74.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% 2-0 @ 7.25% 2-1 @ 7.15% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.94% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.41% | 0-1 @ 12.75% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.78% Total : 32.89% |
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