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Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Jan 21, 2021 at 10pm UK
Castelao
S

Fortaleza
2 - 0
Santos

Juninho (48' pen.), Paulista (66')
Felipe (53'), Carlinhos (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Santos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawSantos
36.68%30.41%32.9%
Both teams to score 40.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.55%66.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.1%84.89%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31%34.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.59%71.41%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69%37.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91%74.09%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 36.68%
    Santos 32.89%
    Draw 30.41%
FortalezaDrawSantos
1-0 @ 13.7%
2-0 @ 7.25%
2-1 @ 7.15%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.94%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.41%
0-1 @ 12.75%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 6.29%
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 32.89%

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