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Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Sep 10, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
AM

Santos
3 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Arthur (22'), Marinho (39', 90+9' pen.)
Jonatan (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Franco (35')
Jair (24'), Keno (46')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Atletico Mineiro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawAtletico Mineiro
36.85%26.71%36.43%
Both teams to score 51.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.8%53.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23%74.76%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52%63.48%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2%63.8%
Score Analysis
    Santos 36.85%
    Atletico Mineiro 36.43%
    Draw 26.71%
SantosDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 3.41%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 36.43%


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