Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Goias had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
