Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
