Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Goias had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.