Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.