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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2020 at 12am UK
Castelao
B

Ceara
2 - 0
Bahia

Cleber (12'), Goncalves (75')
Oliveira (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gregore (44'), Ronaldo (70')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawBahia
42.22%28.37%29.41%
Both teams to score 45.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.29%60.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23%80.77%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59%28.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84%64.17%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.57%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 42.22%
    Bahia 29.41%
    Draw 28.37%
CearaDrawBahia
1-0 @ 13.15%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.22%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.37%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 29.41%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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