Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Goias had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Recife would win this match.
