Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.