Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.