Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.