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Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
P

Botafogo
1 - 0
Palmeiras

Tiquinho (56')
Barboza (4'), Suarez (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 2-2 Palmeiras

The table toppers are undefeated in five, and their opponents have not been defeated in four heading into this colossal midweek fixture. Palmeiras have won on their last two visits to Botafogo, but this Fogo iteration are entirely different. Goals have not been lacking in this encounter, and this week's round 17 clash should follow suit as both sides could play out a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawPalmeiras
33.75% (0.195 0.2) 28.31% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 37.95% (-0.175 -0.17)
Both teams to score 46.73% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5% (0.088000000000001 0.09)59.5% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.15% (0.067 0.07)79.85% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.17700000000001 0.18)32.97% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.196 0.2)69.56% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.29% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)66.46% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 33.74%
    Palmeiras 37.94%
    Draw 28.3%
BotafogoDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.74%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 11.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Monday, July 8 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, July 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Botafogo
Saturday, June 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-1 Botafogo
Saturday, June 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians
Tuesday, July 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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