Botafogo have stuttered in recent weeks, but they have held the upper hand in this fixture for a couple of years. Meanwhile, the visitors have struggled to replicate their home form away from home, and that is why we are tipping the home team to continue their dominance in this clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
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