Although both sides have the same number of points, it is difficult to look past Palmeiras' outstanding form of late.
Additionally, while it is fair to say that Bahia have performed well this season, it is not clear whether they can sustain their title challenge considering they are only a recently promoted team and have not won the league since 1988.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.
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