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Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Allianz Parque
B

Palmeiras
2 - 0
Bahia

Willian (45+3'), Rony (61')
Rony (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kanu (19')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 2-1 Bahia

Although both sides have the same number of points, it is difficult to look past Palmeiras' outstanding form of late. Additionally, while it is fair to say that Bahia have performed well this season, it is not clear whether they can sustain their title challenge considering they are only a recently promoted team and have not won the league since 1988. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBahia
65.79% (0.0019999999999953 0) 19.98%14.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 49.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)12.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)79.47%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 65.79%
    Bahia 14.23%
    Draw 19.98%
PalmeirasDrawBahia
2-0 @ 11.68%
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 6.75%
4-0 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.83%
5-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 65.79%
1-1 @ 9.5%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.98%
0-1 @ 4.6%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.15%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians
Tuesday, July 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino
Friday, June 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Palmeiras
Tuesday, June 18 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bahia
Friday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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