Fortaleza
2 - 3
Sao Paulo

David (15'), Paulista (74')
Felipe (53'), de Souza (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gomes (40'), Luciano (61', 82')
Hernanes (56'), Nestor (72'), Pele (90+6'), Alves (90+8')

Data Analysis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Sao Paulo
32.55%	26.64%	40.81%

Both teams to score 51.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61%

53.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07%

74.93%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33%

30.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09%

66.92%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25%

25.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31%

60.69%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 32.55%

Sao Paulo 40.81%

Draw 26.64%

Fortaleza	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 2% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.55%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.81%