Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.