Bahia
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Juninho (25'), Gilberto (71' pen.)
Capixaba (4'), Ronaldo (50'), Martins (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bergson (65')
Paulao (40'), Felipe (71'), Derley (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Fortaleza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Fortaleza
46.26%	27.23%	26.51%

Both teams to score 46.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91%

58.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24%

78.76%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9%

25.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.2%

59.8%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.29%

37.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51%

74.49%

Score Analysis

Bahia 46.25%

Fortaleza 26.51%

Draw 27.23%

Bahia	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.25%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.51%